Ligue 1

The season simulator flags this as one of the Ligue 1's highest-leverage fixtures — title, top-four and relegation odds all move on the result.

EXPECTED GOALS 1.30–1.35  ·  FAIR ODDS 2.8 / 3.6 / 2.7

The model makes Lyon 37% favourites — Elo, Dixon-Coles scorelines and squad value, priced daily until kickoff.