ODDS 2026-27

The model's season prices

Title probabilities from the season simulator — Elo plus Dixon-Coles plus squad value, run 10,000 times per league. Match-by-match prices arrive with the opening fixtures.

Premier League

TITLE

Arsenal 62%

Man City 22%

Chelsea 4.6%

Liverpool 3.6%

Man United 3.3%

Newcastle 1.3%

La Liga

TITLE

Barcelona 57%

Real Madrid 36%

Atlético 5.7%

Serie A

TITLE

Inter 45%

Juventus 11%

Roma 10%

Milan 10%

Napoli 8.4%

Como 8.5%

Bundesliga

TITLE

Bayern 83%

Dortmund 6.9%

Leverkusen 3.7%

RB Leipzig 3.3%

VfB Stuttgart 2.3%

Ligue 1

TITLE

PSG 87%

Lille 2.1%

Lens 2.1%

Monaco 2.1%

Strasbourg 1.7%

Lyon 1.4%