Ligue 1

The season simulator flags this as one of the Ligue 1's highest-leverage fixtures — title, top-four and relegation odds all move on the result.

EXPECTED GOALS 1.15–1.52  ·  FAIR ODDS 3.6 / 3.7 / 2.2

The model makes Paris FC 45% favourites — Elo, Dixon-Coles scorelines and squad value, priced daily until kickoff.