Serie A

SUNDAY, 23 AUGUST 2026
KICKOFF SA · 2026-27

What's at stake

STAKES 27/100

The season simulator flags this as one of the Serie A's highest-leverage fixtures — title, top-four and relegation odds all move on the result.

The model's price

1X2 · VARIANT B
Atalanta 57%
Draw 24%
Sassuolo 19%

EXPECTED GOALS 1.82–0.96  ·  FAIR ODDS 1.75 / 4.2 / 5.3

The model makes Atalanta 57% favourites — Elo, Dixon-Coles scorelines and squad value, priced daily until kickoff.