Serie A

The season simulator flags this as one of the Serie A's highest-leverage fixtures — title, top-four and relegation odds all move on the result.

EXPECTED GOALS 1.76–1.00  ·  FAIR ODDS 1.83 / 4.1 / 4.8

The model makes Roma 55% favourites — Elo, Dixon-Coles scorelines and squad value, priced daily until kickoff.