GERMANY 2026-27

Bundesliga

Bayern start the season as the model's favourite at 83% for the title — 0 of 306 matches played.

Projected table

10,000 SIMULATIONS · 2026-07-13

#	Team	Elo	xPts	Title	Top 4	Releg
1	Bayern	1683	77	83%	99%	<1%
2	Dortmund	1549	62	7%	71%	<1%
3	Leverkusen	1517	59	4%	59%	<1%
4	RB Leipzig	1496	59	3%	56%	<1%
5	VfB Stuttgart	1511	57	2%	48%	<1%
6	Hoffenheim	1466	51	1%	22%	1%
7	SC Freiburg	1439	48	<1%	14%	2%
8	Frankfurt	1407	47	<1%	10%	2%
9	SV Elversberg	1420	44	<1%	6%	4%
10	Mainz	1437	44	<1%	6%	4%
11	FC Augsburg	1412	42	<1%	4%	8%
12	Gladbach	1409	40	<1%	2%	12%
13	Werder	1374	38	<1%	1%	17%
14	Union Berlin	1390	37	<1%	1%	19%
15	Hamburg SV	1402	37	<1%	1%	20%
16	FC Cologne	1364	36	<1%	1%	23%
17	Schalke 04	1393	33	<1%	<1%	38%
18	Paderborn	1402	31	<1%	<1%	49%

Title race

Bayern 83%

Dortmund 6.9%

Leverkusen 3.7%

RB Leipzig 3.3%

VfB Stuttgart 2.3%

Relegation risk

Paderborn 49%

Schalke 04 38%

FC Cologne 23%

Hamburg SV 20%

Union Berlin 19%

Werder 17%

Up next

18:30 FCB Bayern VFB VfB Stuttgart 18:00 ELV SV Elversberg B04 Leverkusen 18:00 KOE FC Cologne TSG Hoffenheim 18:00 FCU Union Berlin SGE Frankfurt 18:00 M05 Mainz SCP Paderborn 18:00 FCA FC Augsburg S04 Schalke 04 18:00 SCF SC Freiburg SVW Werder 18:00 RBL RB Leipzig BMG Gladbach 18:00 BVB Dortmund HSV Hamburg SV 18:00 SCP Paderborn SCF SC Freiburg

Matches that matter

SEASON LEVERAGE

40 Bayern v VfB Stuttgart 2026-08-28 30 RB Leipzig v Gladbach 2026-08-29 30 SV Elversberg v Leverkusen 2026-08-29 29 Dortmund v Hamburg SV 2026-08-29 28 Mainz v Paderborn 2026-08-29