Bundesliga

The season simulator flags this as one of the Bundesliga's highest-leverage fixtures — title, top-four and relegation odds all move on the result.

EXPECTED GOALS 1.17–1.50  ·  FAIR ODDS 3.5 / 3.7 / 2.3

The model makes Hoffenheim 44% favourites — Elo, Dixon-Coles scorelines and squad value, priced daily until kickoff.