ENGLAND 2026-27

Premier League

Arsenal start the season as the model's favourite at 62% for the title — 0 of 380 matches played.

Projected table

10,000 SIMULATIONS · 2026-07-13
#TeamEloxPtsTitleTop 4Releg
1Arsenal16607862%95%<1%
2Man City15637122%80%<1%
3Chelsea1492635%45%<1%
4Liverpool1505614%38%1%
5Man United1513613%37%1%
6Newcastle1510571%20%2%
7Aston Villa1500551%15%3%
8Brighton1471541%12%4%
9Tottenham1426531%12%4%
10Bournemouth148353<1%11%4%
11Brentford147052<1%9%6%
12Everton145949<1%5%9%
13Palace143549<1%5%10%
14Forest144049<1%5%11%
15Coventry City142047<1%4%13%
16Sunderland145147<1%3%15%
17Leeds United143345<1%2%20%
18Fulham143843<1%1%26%
19Ipswich Town134532<1%<1%80%
20Hull City141427<1%<1%91%

Title race

Arsenal 62%
Man City 22%
Chelsea 4.6%
Liverpool 3.6%
Man United 3.3%
Newcastle 1.3%

Relegation risk

Hull City 91%
Ipswich Town 80%
Fulham 26%
Leeds United 20%
Sunderland 15%
Coventry City 13%